Impact of Climate Change on Productivity of Rice in Case of Punjab Pakistan

ABSTRACT

Climate condition helps in choosing the right type of crop for a particular region, while the prevailing weather condition of that environment decides the potentiality of the crop. Among the crops growth in Pakistan, rice is a sensitive crop that depends highly on weather condition. For instance, if the water is not the limiting factor then the most important weather parameters to influence yield of rice are temperature, solar radiations and rainfall variations during different growth period of rice. This study has examined changes within climate which impact the effect on rice and considered a major agricultural crop in Pakistan. The scientific data on metrological parameters like temperature, radiation and precipitation were obtained from Pakistan Agricultural Research Council (PARC-Islamabad and Rice Research Institute (Kala Shah Kaku) covering the period from 1970 to 2018. The study was conducted by using random and fixed effect models to achieve the aspects of climate changes involved through model were shown that factor of temperature turn out to be produce effective impact toward production of rice, but it sudden increase becomes harmful. However, the rainfall at certain point didn’t affect the growth production of rice. The farmer should be aware and careful about climate changes through Metrological department forecasting. Moreover, government awareness program should be focused on Majors crops including rice because these crops are largely contribute to GDP.

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